Abstract

Although there is a number of researchers studying innovations in general specifically pointing out the risky nature of financial innovations, and the necessity to study their impact the empiric studies describing the effect of the innovations in financial technologies upon capital markets are scarce. There is no credible evidence leading to an unambiguous conclusion as to the impact of innovation in financial technologies on the development of capital markets in Central and East European countries (CEECs). Thus, the main scientific problem of this article is the lack of reliable quantitative evidence of the impact of innovations in financial technologies on capital market development in CEECs. According to that, the aim of this article is to assess the impact of the financial technologies innovations upon the capital markets of the CEECs on the basis of the most recent available data (2006–2017). The study methods employed by the authors included an analysis of the relevant scientific literature, comparative dynamic analysis, panel data models (constant, fixed and random effects) and other statistical methods. As a result, the panel model of the impact upon the capital markets in CEECs is developed based on the analysis of the data from 9 Central and Eastern European countries for a period of 12 years (2006-2017). The model suggested by the authors explains almost four fifths of the changes in the capital market expressed in the capitalisation indicator. The panel models of constant, fix and variable effects is an evidence of a negative statistically significant impact of the summary innovation index reflecting the level and the scope of financial technologies upon the development of capital markets in the Central European States when the other selected macroeconomic variables remain in control. The panel model of development of capital markets also showed that a statistically significant positive impact upon the capital market development in CEECs was produced by forecasted GDP growth, inflation, and capital investment factors (variables). On the other hand, foreign direct investment, unemployment, interest rate, public debt, government budget deficit do not have a statistically significant impact upon the development of capital markets in the selected CEECs. The model constructed by the author is characterised by fairly high reliability and determination indicators, therefore, may be used for the purpose of a further assessment and projecting of the impact of financial technologies and other actions upon the development of the capital markets

Keywords: innovation, financial technologies, capital market development, capitalisation, impact assessment

JEL Classification: G10, O16, E44.

Cite as: Paskevicius, A., & Keliuotyte-Staniuleniene, G. (2018). The evaluation of the impact of financial technologies innovations on CEECs capital markets. Marketing and Management of Innovations, 3, 241-252. https://doi.org/10.21272/mmi.2018.3-21

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License

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